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Possible Hurricane Trouble For US

Wednesday, September 22nd, 2010

From NBC-2

Several of the reliable computer models are starting to hint at some unpleasant news to come, when it relates to tropical trouble for the U.S. coastline.

We have been intently watching these Cape Verde storms (storms that emerge from Africa) over the past few weeks, and aside from Karl and Hermine, there haven’t been signficant threats to the Gulf of Mexico or the Southeast.

Of course, Florida has been sitting pretty in the middle in-between the western Gulf storms and the Atlantic hurricanes.

However, the long-range forecasts are now trending toward a zone of higher tropical activity closer to the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and possibly the Southeast U.S.

Storms will become fewer and fewer in number coming off of Africa late this month and into October.

Meanwhile, temperatures will be cooling and overall air pressures will be rising across northern North America as the first hints of Fall affect Canada and the northern U.S.

Models are conversely depicting the overall lowering of air pressures across the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico as we go through time.

This will likely promote the development of tropical cyclones in the Caribbean or Gulf and the potential for them to make it farther north and threaten the U.S. coast.

The GFS model has been adamant on the development of a tropical cyclone in the eastern Caribbean about one week from now that could be the start of this trend. Emphasis, please, on the word “could.”

We’ll watch it, but for the next week-plus, Southwest Florida has no tropical threat.

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Tags: Gulf of Mexico, Gulf Storms, hurricane protection, hurricane trouble in gulf
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Hurricane Earl Nears East Coast- Gaston Could Come to Gulf!

Thursday, September 2nd, 2010

Compliments of NBC-2 weather report

……The eye of weakening, but still powerful Hurricane Earl may head directly over Nantucket around Midnight going into Saturday morning. Forward motion may add to storm winds, especially if the eye passes just to the west and crosses directly over the Cape.

Even if the eye passes just to the east of Nantucket and just off the Cape, hurricane force winds will be experienced with significant tree damage and loss of power. The worst-hit areas, will likely be Nantucket and on the Cape east of Yarmouth. The farther east you go, such as Chatham, the worse the potential for damage.

Conditions will rapidly improve by late Saturday morning.

Fiona is traveling in Earl’s wake, and may get stranded near Bermuda by late in the weekend and fizzle. Fiona is not a concern for the tropical weather of the U.S.

Tropical Storm Gaston will slowly strengthen through the weekend as it heads west, then west-northwest. I think Gaston barely becomes a hurricane by the end of the weekend, as the storm has plenty of warm water, but is fighting off dry air.

Once we get to Tuesday, Gaston will be nearing the Leeward Islands. At that point, the storm will need to be watched closely. Gaston may turn into the Atlantic like its predecessors, though I think there’s a very good chance it does not turn immediately, and strengthens as it moves near the northern Leeward Islands.

If it gets into the Caribbean farther south, then it has the potential to run all the way into the Gulf of Mexico late next week as a powerful storm.

The forecast for Gaston is a matter of forecast model speculation at this point, and no one should be alarmed. However, if you are traveling to the Leeward Islands next week, keep abreast of the track of Gaston.