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Hurricane Earl Nears East Coast- Gaston Could Come to Gulf!

Thursday, September 2nd, 2010

……The eye of weakening, but still powerful Hurricane Earl may head directly over Nantucket around Midnight going into Saturday morning. Forward motion may add to storm winds, especially if the eye passes just to the west and crosses directly over the Cape.

Even if the eye passes just to the east of Nantucket and just off the Cape, hurricane force winds will be experienced with significant tree damage and loss of power. The worst-hit areas, will likely be Nantucket and on the Cape east of Yarmouth. The farther east you go, such as Chatham, the worse the potential for damage.

Conditions will rapidly improve by late Saturday morning.

Fiona is traveling in Earl’s wake, and may get stranded near Bermuda by late in the weekend and fizzle. Fiona is not a concern for the tropical weather of the U.S.

Tropical Storm Gaston will slowly strengthen through the weekend as it heads west, then west-northwest. I think Gaston barely becomes a hurricane by the end of the weekend, as the storm has plenty of warm water, but is fighting off dry air.

Once we get to Tuesday, Gaston will be nearing the Leeward Islands. At that point, the storm will need to be watched closely. Gaston may turn into the Atlantic like its predecessors, though I think there’s a very good chance it does not turn immediately, and strengthens as it moves near the northern Leeward Islands.

If it gets into the Caribbean farther south, then it has the potential to run all the way into the Gulf of Mexico late next week as a powerful storm.

The forecast for Gaston is a matter of forecast model speculation at this point, and no one should be alarmed. However, if you are traveling to the Leeward Islands next week, keep abreast of the track of Gaston.

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